External Debt, NODA, and GDP Growth Nexus for South Asian and Southeast Asian Selected Economies

Abstract

The fundamental aim of this study is to fetch out the influence of NODA (net official development assistance) and EDS (external debt stock) on GDP growth in South Asian and Southeast Asian designated economies over 1971 to 2019. This study refers to the Solow-Swan model of economic growth as hypothetical framework in its elementary sort and employ factors such as NODA, EDS, savings, capital, depreciation, governance, and in addition total natural resources rent as control variable. Using panel data sourced from WDI (world development indicators). This study employed various econometric techniques comprise FEM (fixed effect model), panel cointegration, panel dynamic least square (DOLS), and Granger causality test for desired regression estimations. Empirical estimations evident that EDS has a negative and significant impact on GDP growth whereas, NODA had a negative and insignificant impact on GDP growth. A positive and significant influence of savings on GDP growth observed and estimation confirm that by increasing 1% in savings may cause an increase in GDP growth by 13.19 units. Capital has a positive and significant impact on GDP growth and estimation outcomes confirm that an increase of 1% in capital may cause an increase of 10.14 units. A negative and significant impact of depreciation on GDP growth revealed and it is intended that increasing 1% in depreciation may cause a decrease in GDP growth by 5.26 units. A positive and significant impact of TNRR on GDP growth revealed and estimations confirm that an increase of 1% in total natural resource rent may cause an increase in GDP growth by 0.099 units. While, impact of governance on GDP growth revealed insignificant. Lastly, it is also endorsed that a uni-directional Granger causality runs from GDP growth to EDS, EDS to NODA, and no causal relationship has been confirmed between NODA and GDP growth in SA and SEA designated economies over 1971 to 2019.